Tag Archives: manipulation

Market Take-Down

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Well, I know I promised to stay away from my blog. But a 1000 point drop in the Dow is reason enough to renege on a promise.

I’m going to state my considered judgment that that was no accident. It looked deliberate (like September, 2008) and seems to follow on other deliberate attempts to induce panic….(not that anyone needs to try very hard to do that, since the way governments are behaving nowadays is panic-inducing enough)

Why do I monger conspiracy thus?

Let’s review.

Rewind to the early part of April, a period that has occult significance, as it includes Hitler’s birthday (April 20). It also carries dark overtones from recent history in the US – the Columbine shootings (April 20, 1999), the Federal assault on Waco on April 19, 1993, and the WTC Oklahoma City bombing (April 17, 1995) and from WW II history (the NKVD’s massacre at Katyn in April 1940 , and several other important incidents related to the Nazi prison camps).

1. On April 10 we witnessed the “decapitation” of a large part of the leadership of Poland under the strangest of circumstances. Poland is a country that has been resisting the economic demands of the EU one-worlders and rearing its reactionary nationalistic head on several occasions, to wit., the devaluation of the zloty. The plane crash erased the bulk of the nationalists in government at one shot.

2. This mysterious crash was followed by another smaller but equally strange incident when Eurocontrol (correction: I read that the ultimate decision was not made by Eurocontrol but by EU members acting with coordination from Eurocontrol) over-reacted to the eruption of the Icelandic volcano and grounded the entire airline industry in many northern and western European countries, shutting down 70% of European flights and hitting the economy severely again. Hit two to the markets.

3. Around the same time we had whistle-blower Andrew Maguire outing JP Morgan market manipulation (March 23) and nearly becoming the victim of a hit and run driver (March 27).

This was followed immediately by widespread panic (around April 7) about the lack of physical gold in a number of vaults and behind the majority of contracts. That was hit three.

4. At the same time (April 16), there was the SEC filing of charges against Goldman Sachs. I’m all for flaying Goldman alive, but there’s no denying the “staged” elements of the case, its tardiness, and its potential to set off more litigation that could maul the banking industry badly. Hit four.

5. Now, against the background of street riots in Greece, with the EU tottering on its gouty feet, comes hit five –  a market plunge of historic proportions apparently from a bizarre trading “mistake.”

Update: 6. April 20, blow up of BP oil rig/

Add in a few other suspicious developments, and malice aforethought rather than chance seems the more plausible explanation….

Now was it Goldman’s High Frequency Trading programs sending a warning to investigators? Or was it the infamous Plunge Protection Team? Perhaps this was a message from the Federal Reserve to those who want to audit it…..that bill has now been “gutted.”

Was it a “fat finger” at Citigroup (denied by the firm) or a “black swan” out of Nassim Taleb’s Universa hedge-fund, as the latest reports suggest?

Taleb has denied it.

Who knows.

I have my own ideas, of course. But they’re no more than theory at this point.

Whoever did it, I suspect money was made both on the way down and the way up.

Jim Rogers on Goldseek radio had the best word for the whole frightening mishap. He said someone should suffer for it. This is New York, the HQ of the world capital markets. If the NYSE can’t get it right, time to get rid of them.

But of course, no one is going to go anywhere. No one is going to suffer for their mistakes. The only people who will suffer, as usual, is you, me, and the rest of the investing public.

A Brief History Of The War On Gold

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GATA posts a helpful compilation of links to articles on gold price manipulation and a page on the history of that manipulation at The Privateer.com. And excerpt from that (from the period after 1960):

“The End Of the “Fixed” Dollar

Gold War I – The “London Gold Pool” – 1961 to 1968
By the beginning of the 1960s, the $US 35 = 1 oz. Gold ratio was becoming more and more difficult to sustain. Gold demand was rising and U.S. Gold reserves were falling, both as a result of the ever increasing trade deficits which the U.S. continued to run with the rest of the world. Shortly after President Kennedy was Inaugurated in January 1961, and to combat this situation, newly-appointed Undersecretary of the Treasury Robert Roosa suggested that the U.S. and Europe should pool their Gold resources to prevent the private market price for Gold from exceeding the mandated rate of $US 35 per ounce. Acting on this suggestion, the Central Banks of the U.S., Britain, West Germany, France, Switzerland, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg set up the “London Gold Pool” in early 1961.

The Pool came unstuck when the French, under Charles de Gaulle, reneged and began to send the Dollars earned by exporting to the U.S. back and demanding Gold rather than Treasury debt paper in return. Under the terms of the Bretton Woods Agreement signed in 1944, France was legally entitled to do this. The drain on U.S. Gold became acute, and the London Gold Pool folded in April 1968. But the demand for U.S. Gold did not abate.

By the end of the 1960s, the U.S. faced the stark choice of eliminating their trade deficits or revaluing the Dollar downwards against Gold to reflect the actual situation. President Nixon decided to do neither. Instead, he repudiated the international obligation of the U.S. to redeem its Dollar in Gold just as President Roosevelt had repudiated the domestic obligation in 1933. On August 15, 1971, Mr Nixon closed the “Gold Window”. The last link between Gold and the Dollar was gone. The result was inevitable. In February 1973, the world’s currencies “floated”. By the end of 1974, Gold had soared from $35 to $195 an ounce.

Gold War II – The IMF/U.S. Treasury Gold Auctions – 1975 to 1979
On January 1, 1975, after 42 years, it again became “legal” for individual Americans to own Gold. Anticipating the demand, the U.S. Treasury in particular and many other Central Banks sold large quantities of Gold, taking large paper profits in the process. This had two results. It depressed the price of Gold, which fell to $US 103 in eighteen months. More important by far, it “burned” large numbers of small individual investors.

But this “pre-emptive strike” against the Gold price did not solve the imbalances inherent in the floating currency regime. As the Gold price began to recover from its August 1976 low, the (US-controlled) IMF along with the Treasury itself, began a series of Gold auctions in an attempt to hold down the price through official means. But the problem of yet another free fall in the international value of the Dollar got in the way. Between January and October of 1978, the Dollar lost fully 25% of its value against a basket of the currencies of its major trading partners. By early 1979, due to this precipitous fall, the demand for Gold was overwhelming the amount that the IMF/Treasury dared supply, and the Gold auctions came to an end.

Gold regained its ($195) December 1974 level by July 1978. It then pressed on to new highs, hitting $250 in February 1979 and $300 in July. Also in July, Paul Volcker was appointed as Fed Chairman by a desperate Jimmy Carter. Gold continued to surge, hitting $400 in October. While this was happening, Mr Volcker was attending a conference in Belgrade. There the assessment was made that the global financial system was on the verge of collapse. When Mr Volcker returned to the U.S. from Belgrade, he took a momentous step. He announced that the Fed was switching its policy from controlling interest rates to controlling the money supply.

This new Fed policy took some time to have effect. In the meantime, Gold soared from $381 on Nov. 1, 1979 to $850 on Jan. 21, 1980. The public, who had been burned in 1975, were late on the scene. The great burst of public Gold buying came in the four weeks between Christmas 1979 and the Jan 21, 1980 high. As in 1975, they were “burned” again.

The Paper Era Begins
In early 1980, Mr Volcker’s new Fed policy began to bite. U.S. interest rates began to skyrocket. As they rose, the Dollar first slowed its descent, then stopped falling, and then began to rise. Both the public and the investment community which had stampeded into Gold was lured back into paper by this huge rise in interest rates – and by the prospect of a higher U.S. Dollar. The threat of financial meltdown was averted, but at a cost. The U.S. Prime rate hit 20% in April 1980 and stayed there (with a brief dive in mid-1980) until the end of 1981. There was a rush out of Gold and back to Dollars.

Once interest rates began to come down, in early/mid 1982, the choice of where to put the Dollars faced investors once more. The initial solution was just as it had been in the 1970s. The Dow took off – rising from 776 to almost 1100 between mid August 1982 and late January 1983. Gold started earlier and took off even harder – rising from $296 in late June 1982 to $510 at the end of January 1983.

That’s where the similarity to the 1970s ended. Gold fell $105 in the last four trading days of February 1983. As it fell, the Dow broke above the 1100 point level for the first time. The long bull market in stocks, and the long stagnation of Gold, had begun…..”