“Meanwhile, anyone who believes that the worst is over for real estate should keep an eye on New York City’s terminally bloated market. It has not crashed yet, but the likelihood that it will seems as certain a bet as that the sun will rise tomorrow. Last week’s report that prices are up while unit sales are down was regarded, incredibly, as evidence that the Big Apple might somehow be immune to the crash that has already spread to most other big cities. We are asked to believe that the high level of foreign ownership is what is keeping NYC’s housing prices buoyant. But if that were true, then how to explain the fact that Citigroup shares, which are heavily owned by foreigners whose pockets are almost infinitely deep, have fallen by nearly 70%?  

In fact, signs of an impending collapse in New York City real estate have been masked by the sale of a relative handful of apartments at exorbitant prices in the $25 million-$40 million range. Despite this, in the broad middle of the market – i.e., run-of-the-mill co-ops valued at $1.5 million to $3 million — buyers have peen pulling back in droves. Under the circumstances, only an imbecile could believe that NYC real estate will somehow weather the devastation of Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch and hundreds of other financial firms both big and small…..”

Rick Ackerman.