“Those who now speak of decoupling used to talk of globalisation. This is oxymoronic, you can believe in one or the other but not both,” says analyst James Montier.
Montier thinks that the world is bound to go the way of the American economy – down. If you pumped for globalisation and global growth when the going was good, he says, you can’t now argue for decoupling. You can’t now say that the global economy doesn’t depend on what happens here. That would be cognitive dissonance.
Here, I’ll take the part of cognitive dissonance. It’s what makes the world go round.
Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets is chock-full of it.
Critics have called that a terrible thing…..or terrific, depending on where they stand,
But if our detractors rested their case against us only on this, they’d have a non-starter on their hands. Anyone who’s sniffed a grand theory up close knows better.
Why?
Because the real world is a jungle and logic cuts only a very narrow track in it; we’d be foolish to mistake our little wayward path for the woolly thickets our machete didn’t get to.
There is no logical structure that doesn’t rest on a blind spot….there is no sense that does not have a foundation that is nonsense. (That’s from a piece I did on Tom Friedman).
In fact, a bystander watching the way we mangle language could be pardoned for thinking it our original sin. He’d see that we’re fooled not just by our theories, but by words themselves. Their sense and their nonsense.
“Mobs” is a book about words.
On my part, it started from my critical work on language; from studying propaganda and from my popular writing on the subject .
In “Do Gooding Do-Do” and “Developmentally Disabled,“ two pieces used in the book (incorrectly attributed in several places), I took a look at some common words used about economics … and got into trouble with progressive and conservative friends.
What did I say that was so bad?
I said that “free market” language is used a lot to support what’s essentially managed trade. And that “social uplift” language is used the same way.
But how can you not take a position, asked the critics, a la Montier. Isn’t globalisation
A Very Good Thing? Or A Very Bad Thing?
Is it?
Perhaps it’s neither…or both….
Perhaps it’s sometimes one thing..sometimes another.
Perhaps it’s just too complicated for slogans. Sometimes government regulations are the lesser evil. And sometimes the greater. Perhaps you can talk about globalisation….and also talk about decoupling. Perhaps, on most things with any complexity the best response is not the one the mob wants to hear – Yes or No.
The best response is – It Depends.
…or simply “we’ll see.” (But that would probably disperse any mob that was paying your ideas any attention pretty fast)
We’ll see is a pretty good response.
J.A., I’ve never courted any mob…