herd

“The critical thing about names is their plasticity and manipulability, they are mental constructs and so extremely malleable after considerations of latency and cognitive friction are taken into account.

Update: From the comments, this makes my point much clearer:

….The associated metaphysics is secondary to the potentiation of collective action. Once a flag gets carried across a tribal border, be it a tribal flag, a national flag, a religious flag or whatever in the home context, across the tribal border it’s generally a de facto tribal flag.

“I want to emphasize that this issue isn’t limited to religion & metaphysics. After all, how many communists read Das Kapital front to back? Religious or political movements need the appropriate psychological “hooks” to have mass appeal, but they also seem to gain credibility through the generation of obscure intellectual justifications….”

“In the name of a word,” by Razib at GeneExpression

Comment: Researching the witchcraft trials for a chapter in “Mobs, Messiahs and Markets,” I ended up with the same conclusion: a symbol isn’t enough. A red rag alone won’t do to get a crowd going. You need a half-baked theory that no one actually studies but which the cognoscenti can trot out as justification…..

Murray Rothbard: the chattering classes and war…

“In his magnum opus, Man, Economy and State, Rothbard wrote that “in all countries the State has made certain that it owns and monopolizes the vital nerve centers, the command posts of the society.”5 Such “command posts” include defense (territorial monopoly or near-monopoly of the legitimized use of violence), communications, “education,” the monetary system (central banking), ultimate say over land-use and ownership, control of rivers and coasts, and the post office. Other social thinkers who noticed this phenomenon shrugged, made reference to “natural monopolies” and such, and went on to other topics. Rothbard, intent on a critical understanding of state-behavior, did not.

Control of education and communication was central to the state’s peaceful existence, and here we find the relationship between states and intellectuals – a problem much larger, unfortunately, than a few art-phonies demanding state subsidies for their bad paintings. States everywhere have understood the need to “keep” intellectuals to spread the word of the state’s good intentions, nobility, supremacy, necessity, and so on. In the past, priesthoods sometimes filled this role. With the rise of state-monopoly school systems matters grew much worse. Add to this the state’s leverage over the airwaves and printed communication, and you have important command posts, indeed. No wonder the usual suspects want to police the web to protect us from all those private criminals out there.

This goes to what Rothbard called “the mystery of civil obedience”6 – or why do people put up with the various oppressions of states over the long haul? Part of the explanation is the role state-allied intellectuals play in shaping public opinion. Matters are even worse in so-called “democracies,” where bureaucrats and special interests reign supreme, while the people comfort themselves with the notion that, in some way, “we are the government” – a proposition that will not withstand the slightest serious inquiry.

The spectacle of the intellectuals rallying around the state, denouncing the “selfish” ordinary citizen as a slacker who fails to understand the heroic things the state is doing for him, is especially noticeable in wartime. The late Cold War, by blurring the distinction between war and peace, greatly heightened the process. Now, with constant demands that the American Empire invade and bomb all malefactors everywhere in the name of keeping “peace” – not to mention Universal Brother/Sisterhood – the distinction looks to remain blurred – quite deliberately, of course. If “war is the health of the state” – Randolph Bourne’s phrase which Rothbard often quoted – then permanent mobilization and endless “peacekeeping” are the perfect setting for long-run growth of state power as against “social power….”

More at Antiwar by Joseph Stromberg.

Evil Empires update..

Via M Parent:

Gorbachev: US Makes Strategic Mistakes

Russia’s Gorbachev says U.S. is sowing world disorder

By Guy Faulconbridge

Reuters
Friday, July 27, 2007; 9:13 AM

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Former Soviet president Mikhail Gorbachev criticized the United States, and current President George W. Bush in particular, on Friday for sowing disorder across the world by seeking to build an empire.

Gorbachev, who presided over the break-up of the Soviet Union, said Washington had sought to build an empire after the Cold War ended but had failed to understand the changing world….”

Comment:

Well – missing that ole Soviet empire, eh Gorbie? Or glad you bailed out in time?

Don’t worry, we didn’t learn any lessons. It may take us awhile to catch up with you — but we’re getting there…..

Ron Paul reasoning, wisdom from Solomon, and the coming credit apocalypse

From Reason:

Why some libertarians don’t want to join the Ron Paul revolution.

“But some Ron Paul Revolutionaries insist that the mainstream media are putrid corpses in brackish water, and conventional polls are for losers who still answer their landlines. Paul’s support—by more postmodern measures—continues to grow. He’s still the king of meetup.com, which does generate real-world crowds, and even real-world food drives. He’s also the political king of YouTube (22,157 subscribers). We won’t find out for months if these netroots measures mean anything in electoral terms. And that’s just fine for a thrifty message-oriented candidate, who psychically benefits from running (and builds up more fundraising resources for any future effort) even if he fails utterly with vote totals.

This past Sunday he hit a political respectability jackpot, with a long, thorough, serious, and critical-but-respectful profile in the New York Times Magazine. Most of the Ron Paul press tells, however questioningly, of a politician dedicated to severely limited government that doesn’t want to interfere in our personal lives, doesn’t want to investigate us and control us, wants to abolish the income tax, and wants to bring troops home and dedicate our military only to actual national defense—a politician against the federal drug war, against the Patriot Act, against regulating the Internet, and for habeas corpus.

One prominent version of Libertarian Ron Paul Anxiety comes via noted and respected anarcho-legal theorist Randy Barnett in The Wall Street Journal. Barnett has decades of hardcore libertarian movement credentials behind him and is one of Lysander Spooner‘s biggest fans. (Spooner, the 19th century individualist anarchist, famously declared the state to be of inherently lower moral merit than a highway bandit.) But the mild obstetrician, family man, and experienced legislator Ron Paul is too radical for Barnett in one respect—the respect that is key to most of Paul’s traction to begin with: hisconsistent, no-compromise, get-out-now stance against the war in Iraq.

Barnett is eager to dissociate libertarianism writ large from Paul’s anti-Iraq War stance, claiming that many libertarians are concerned that Americans may get the misleading impression that all libertarians oppose the Iraq war—as Ron Paul does—and even that libertarianism itself dictates opposition to this war. It would be a shame, he suggests, if this misinterpretation inhibited a wider acceptance of the libertarian principles that would promote the general welfare of the American people.

This is doubly curious. First, because opposition to non-defensive war traditionally is a core libertarian principle (to begin with, since it inherently involves mass murder and property destruction aimed at people who have not harmed the people imposing the harm) and is, in fact, the position of the vast majority of self-identified libertarians. Second, why would one worry that libertarianism can be damaged by an association with an idea that is in fact immensely popular? And, to boot, a popular position in which Paul has unique credibility for being right, and right from the beginning, unlike pretty much every other candidate…….

…..Libertarians leery of Paul should ask themselves (while bearing in mind that of course no one, certainly no libertarian, is under any obligation to support or advocate or vote for any politician ever): Have we ever seen a national political figure better in libertarian terms—better on taxes, on drugs, on spending, on federalism, on foreign policy, on civil liberties? And for the pragmatic, cosmopolitan, mainstream libertarian: Why is Ron Paul the place where making the non-existent best the enemy of the good becomes the right thing to do?

Senior Editor Brian Doherty is author of This is Burning Man and Radicals for Capitalism: A Freewheeling History of the Modern American Libertarian Movement.

Comment:

And a bit more here on the truly a-pauling reason:

Says Norman Solomon (hat tip to Dandelionsalad):

“On Iraq policy, in Washington, the differences between Republicans and Democrats — and between the media’s war boosters and opponents — are often significant. Yet they’re apt to mask the emergence of a general formula that could gain wide support from the political and media establishment.

The formula’s details and timelines are up for grabs. But there’s not a single “major” candidate for president willing to call for withdrawal of all U.S. forces — not just “combat” troops — from Iraq, or willing to call for a complete halt to U.S. bombing of that country.

Those candidates know that powerful elites in this country just don’t want to give up the leverage of an ongoing U.S. military presence in Iraq, with its enormous reserves of oil and geopolitical value. It’s a good bet that American media and political powerhouses would fix the wagon of any presidential campaign that truly advocated an end to the U.S. war in — and on — Iraq.

The disconnect between public opinion and elite opinion has led to reverse perceptions of a crisis of democracy. As war continues, some are appalled at the absence of democracy while others are frightened by the potential of it. From the grassroots, the scarcity of democracy is transparent and outrageous. For elites, unleashed democracy could jeopardize the priorities of the military-industrial-media complex.”

Now what would those priorities be and what crisis could the M-I-M complex be staving off?

Via the Daily Paul, here is Robert Prechter (in Elliot Wave Theorist) explaining why he is “Beyond Bearish“:

“But there is a much more important event for believers in perpetual inflation to explain: the trend of yields from bonds and utility stocks. In the 1970s, prices of bonds and utility stocks were falling, and yields on bonds and utility stocks were rising, because of the onslaught of inflation. But in the past 25 years bond and utility stock prices have gone up, and yields on bonds and utility stocks (see Figures 2 [not shown] and 3) have gone down. Once again, this situation is contrary to claims that we are experiencing a replay of the inflationary 19?teens or 1970s. Those investing on an inflation theme cannot explain these graphs. But there is a precedent for this time. It is 1928?1929, when bond and utility yields bottomed and prices topped (see Figure 4) in an environment of expanding credit and a stock market boom. The Dow Jones Utility Average was the last of the Dow averages to peak in 1929, and today it is deeply into wave (5) and therefore near the end of its entire bull market. All these juxtaposed market behaviors make sense only in our context of a terminating credit bubble. This one is just a whole lot bigger than any other in history.

Some economic historians blame rising interest rates into 1929 for the crash that ensued. Those who do must acknowledge that the Fed’s interest rate today is at almost exactly the same level it was then, having risen steadily?and in fact way more in percentage terms?since 2003. So even on this score the setup is the same as it was 1929. Remember also that in 1926 the Florida land boom collapsed. In the current cycle, house prices nationwide topped out in 2005, two years ago. So maybe it’s 1928 now instead of 1929. But that’s a small quibble compared to the erroneous idea that we are enjoying a perpetually inflationary goldilocks economy with perpetually rising investment prices….”

The Look of Lib: technology for swarms…

Cellphabet 1.0 on Saturday!
Do you know that ‘someone’ always knows where you are? Do you know that the mobile phone in your hand is always being watched by invisible eyes?

???? ??? ????? ??? ?? ?? ???? ??? ??????? ????? ???? ????? ???? ???? ???? ?????? ??? ?? ?????..

In the 1982 film Namak Halal , Amitabh Bachchan famously declared: “I can talk in English, I can walk in English…because English is a very funny language.” This statement is no more a metaphor since the Cellphabet 1.0 – a radical new system to convert the movement of a mobile phone into plain English text.

??? ?? ?????? ??? ??????? ?? ???????? ????, ?? ?? ????? ???????? ???? ??? – ????????,??? ??? ????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ?????!???? ??? ?? ??? ?????!

The system will now be demonstrated publicly and all are invited to witness a first in history – a man walking to write an SMS text message, without touching his phone. As he walks, you play a game of words like no other…

????? ????? ???, ?? ?????? ?? ??? ???…

Where: Kala Ghoda Art District’s Parking Lot, Mumbai

When: 2PM, Saturday 28th of July 2007

Team:
DJ Fadereu(a.k.a. Rohit Gupta) (software)
Tara Chowdhry(documentator)
Angad Chowdhry (event manager)
Gabriel Greenberg (visual display)
Vickram Crishna

Live on the Web! The Cellphabet Twitter Feed

???? ??????? ?? ???? ??????? ????!For more information please contact: Gabriel Greenberg (09870181434), DJ Fadereu(09821424074) or email algomantra@gmail.com

 

 

 

The Countdown Begins


I’ll be releasing my secret project within 7 days now, and it’s not J.U.N.G.L.E. as earlier planned…..
More from D. J. Fadereau at Algomantra.

Dollar dilemma…….

Whither the dollar? A question of some importance….not simply financially. But also for civil freedoms. The shakier the whole financial structure becomes, the more intense the government’s interest in monitoring, controlling, securing, and confiscating property and savings becomes…and the more likely controls of financial inflows and outflows become.

And the less likely it is that citizens will speak up for fear of becoming a target of the feds.
The dollar index closed below 80 this week, looking as thought it had finally bought it. But a quick check of the historical prices shows that actually the index closed at that level in December 2004. And bounced.

Well, you know what happened in 2005.  The index went steadily up, giving corporations a window for repatriation of their foreign earnings (and you thought they did it for for love of dead presidents, huh?) and kept gold in limbo. But then surprise again: In 2006, the buck resumed its slide down and gold shot up to highs not seen in more than a couple of decades. Come late spring and the gold bugs and sellers were screaming gold $2000…

Too bad it didn’t work out that way. By fall, gold was again down and bouncing around far below its high, stuck in a range. And meanwhile, this year, the dollar already weakening steadily, has fallen off the edge.

Is it the end this time? Or another feint? Who knows, with all the manipulation and massaging of prices that go on.

It could be a double bottom . A double bottom is a pattern that supposedly tells you when a slide down has found a resting place — from which a bounce upward can be expected. How do you see double bottoms? True believers will swear by shapes as fleeting as clouds and as deceptive as tea-leaves. Hocus-pocus, say fundamentalists. But like tea-life reading, chart reading may be hocus pocus, but it also has an art to it that can make good sense. It isn’t so much a pattern you see as a feel for the pattern that you cultivate. Watch those little ticks, see the numbers, how fast they run up or down, what time of the day they do it and how heavily, and you can begin to feel the pulse of the movement of prices.

(OK, I’m getting poetic, but it’s true). And gold’s pulse hasn’t felt all that strong in a while. But neither has the dollar’s. So when the  bottom of the double bottom shook and gave just a bit more, sending the buck below 80 this week, I wondered if this was it.

But no;  it bounced. Maybe just a dead cat, but then again, maybe not. The question is — is gold now a safe haven, or a currency, or a commodity? Is it coupled to the dollar or uncoupled, and if coupled, is it in lockstep or reverse?

Here’s Brian Bloom at 321gold.com

with a summing up that looks pretty plausible to me:

“If my mental model remains intact, this is the outcome I would expect to see over the next few weeks:

1. The US Dollar Index breaks up out of the falling wedge, reinforcing the argument that the Primary Trend of the US Dollar Index is “up”.
a
2. If this happens, it is likely to scare the pants off the gold bugs, who will dump gold holdings – causing the gold price and gold shares to pull back.
a
3. Once it becomes obvious to all and sundry that the US Dollar will not be expected to break down significantly below the Maginot line at 80, the bulls will be out in force. The Industrial Indices will rise (because of inflation), and they will pull the gold shares with them.
a
4. Commodities and oil will start to shoot upwards (again because of inflation) and the gold price will at that point break to new highs.
a
5. When the market as a whole sees that the inverse relationship between the US Dollar and the US$ denominated Gold Price has finally been severed, the gold price will likely scream upwards in its capacity as a commodity. It can be seen from the following ratio chart of gold to the $XOI that gold has a lot of catching up to do.”

Eteraz on Muslim reforms in the last year..

“So let’s think about the reforms we’ve seen in the one point five years I’ve been blogging about Islamic Reform: Liberal Democracy affirmed, death penalty for apostasy dealt huge blow, global Muslim scholars reaching a consensus that one Muslim cannot declare another non-Muslims, outlawing of female genital mutilation, Pakistan’s Women’s Protection Bill, UAE outlawed lashing, Kuwaiti women got right to vote, Saudi religious police got taken to court by a woman and lost, Moroccan women were allowed to become clerics and muftis, domestic violence was declared un-islamic in those countries where it is illegal (I still don’t understand why it wasn’t just made forbidden outright)…these are just the big ones. I’ll compile a list of the small ones later.

Postscript 2:

The fight is not over, not even close. All of these rulings now need to be *implemented* into the legislative systems of various countries. We saw how hard getting the Women’s Protection Bill through the Pakistani parliament was. We also saw that reformists couldn’t get the death penalty for blasphemy abolished via the Parliament in Pakistan.

Reality is, that getting prominent scholars to support reforms was only the first step. The harder part will be to convince the masses. God, but at least we are getting the scholars on our side. Also, even within apostasy, the issue of civil penalties to be done away with is important…..”

From the indefatigable Ali Eteraz.

Comment:

So, while the Islamic world wises up and begins (note, begins) liberalizing religious thought, are we going to be content to lose the political achievements of the last 400 years of AngloAmerican common law and jurisprudence?

It’s a mad, mad, media world…

King of Spin decoding, Norman Solomon, author of War Made Easy  in  a piece at Counterpunch.

“Former readers of Mad Magazine can remember a regular feature called “Scenes We’d Like to See.” It showed what might happen if candor replaced customary euphemisms and evasions. These days, what media scenes would we like to see?

One aspect of news media that needs a different paradigm is the correction ritual. Newspapers are sometimes willing to acknowledge faulty reporting, but the “correction box” is routinely inadequate — the journalistic equivalent of self-flagellation for jaywalking in the course of serving as an accessory to deadly crimes….

Good genocides and bad…..

Explaining the intricacies of humanitarian intervention, a post by Lenin’s Tomb from March of this year that still holds good.

“Since 2003, according to UN estimates, some 200,000 have been killed in the Darfur region of Sudan in a brutal ethnic-cleansing campaign and another 2 million have been turned into refugees.

How would you know this? Well, if you lived in New York City, at least, you could hardly take a subway ride without seeing an ad that reads: “400,000 dead. Millions uniting to save Darfur.” The New York Times has also regularly featured full-page ads describing the “genocide” in Darfur and calling for intervention there under “a chain of command allowing necessary and timely military action without approval from distant political or civilian personnel.”

In those same years, according to the best estimate available, the British medical journal The Lancet’s door-to-door study of Iraqi deaths, approximately 655,000 Iraqis had died in war, occupation, and civil strife between March 2003 and June 2006. (The study offers a low-end possible figure on deaths of 392,000 and a high-end figure of 943,000.) But you could travel coast to coast without seeing the equivalents of the billboards, subway placards, full-page newspaper ads, or the like for the Iraqi dead. And you certainly won’t see, as in the case of Darfur, celebrities on Good Morning America talking about their commitment to stopping “genocide” in Iraq.

Why is it that we are counting and thinking about the Sudanese dead as part of a high-profile, celebrity-driven campaign to “Save Darfur,” yet Iraqi deaths still go effectively uncounted, and rarely seem to provoke moral outrage, let alone public campaigns to end the killing? And why are the numbers of killed in Darfur cited without any question, while the numbers of Iraqi dead, unless pitifully low-ball figures, are instantly challenged — or dismissed?”