“Barack, the Magic Negro”: Limbaugh’s parody is in poor taste…..

A parody song about Barack Obama has been making the rounds of the talk shows.

This from “Crooks and Liars”:

BREAKING: Limbaugh’s “Barack the Magic Negro,” on-air song has workers up in arms

rush-limbaugh_1.jpg UPDATED: Rush Limbaugh has angered many black employees over this parody song called “Barack the Magic Negro” This isn’t the first or the last time that Limbaugh will go after Obama’s race:

audio_mp3 Download | Play

I’ve been told that they have held meetings internally to deal with a ground swell of anger at Rush because of this.

UPDATE: I’ve anonymously confirmed that stations around the country who carry the show are having concerns expressed by listeners and even their own workers of color about the Obama parody, and the ensuing controversy in the media, and that respective managements are considering ways to address the matter with as little Imus-like backlash as possible,..This is starting to boil over…

A caller noticed there was a disclaimer added to the station she listens to and asks Rush why.

audio_mp3 Download | Play

Comment:

Why is accusing the United States government (ala Jeremy Wright) of using biological weapons against its minority citizens racist, but demeaning a black presidential candidate, a perfectly vacuous candidate in our humble opinion, NOT? Oh, because “Barack, the Magic Negro” is hip sociological talk, we hear:

“The Magic Negro is a figure of postmodern folk culture, coined by snarky 20th century sociologists, to explain a cultural figure who emerged in the wake of Brown vs. Board of Education. “He has no past, he simply appears one day to help the white protagonist,” reads the description on Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magical_Negro .

It’s an Al Sharpton phrase, Al Sharpton being tacky-race-theorist-in-residence on the American political scene. (Not that I don’t think Sharpton isn’t sometimes funny, but if you live by race, you’re going to die by it — and don’t complain).

In other words, it’s the old business of who says what. If rapper Snoop Doggy Dogg calls a woman a “ho,'” then that is social commentary; but if you (Joe Six-pack) do it, well, that’s sexist abuse.

Alright. Let’s stipulate that. If you’re a guy, you don’t get to call the ladies “ho’s” any more than if you’re white in 21st century USA you get to refer to blacks as “negros” (in a derogatory way) without raising up a few racial ghosts, even if the self-appointed guardians of racial morality do.

We get that part.

What we don’t get is this: when we’ve had evidence from Tuskegee onward that governments, and not just in the US, are capable of just about anything against their own citizens, why is it racist to state the perfectly libertarian proposition that states are inherently murderous, but OK and even rather funny to use a stealth-racialist label on an individual who’s no more or less a bland apparatchik than any white candidate? (And we’re not Obama-bots here).

Of course, the Right Reverend Wright didn’t do himself or Obama any favors by his firebrand performance over the weekend. His makeover into introspective new, new theologian by Bill Moyers was an impressive act of cross-dressing, but his subsequent reversal to black theo-speak at the National Press Club undid that performance thoroughly.

The chickens-coming-home-to-roost explanation of American foreign policy is a banality of left-wing analysis, at home on many academic campuses, but add a dashiki and the visceral cadences of black preacher-talk, and it becomes the verbal equivalent of Jimi Hendrix playing The Star Spangled Banner.

It’s powerful stuff dressing up American government history as a morality play. But as foreign policy analysis, it’s weak. But then again, having been happy to confuse the two whenever it suited us, we’ve only ourselves to blame for this conflation of the moral and the political…..

So we’re left impressed only by the Reverend’s sincerity (conceded even by Newt Gingrich ) and unerring eye for a You-Tube moment (and there’s that million dollar mansion and the book tour to come) and quite unimpressed by whoever it is who manages the Barack Balancing Act — you know, placate the base (Weatherman buddy,hat tip to The Absurd Report for thatFarrakhan bodyguards, Wright sermons) but aim for the center ( working-class white fears, health care, jobs).

So far, Obama’s aim’s been pretty rotten. He was loyal to his inflammatory pastor….and for payback, the guy tossed him into the flames.

It should have been all over for Obama by now.

But now comes this…..

Sometimes I have to wonder if Limbaugh is an undercover Air America operative….

Feminastiness: Eastern Men As Oppressive As Westerners….

Topping my recently opened female-of-the-species-is-more-deadly-than-the-male file, this, from an Indian site (I’ve changed some of the language for clarity):

How to Improve Gender Sensitivity in India: 

1) Women must not be imprisoned even if they kill. They need to be put into reformatories.

2) As soon as a woman marries, she should get 50% rights to her husband’s property.

3) Large scale single parenting by woman (with maintenance provided by husband) is the norm. Research shows that children who are not allowed to see their fathers after divorce for years grow up to be very healthy. In India, Gender Sensitive judges alone should decide if the women should allow the father to see the child after divorce or not. Or if he should ever see them.

4) Any violence committed by woman against others (including murder) should be considered self-defense.

5) The disparity between life expectancy rates in men and women needs to be raised to the levels in developed countries. In India, women live 2.4 years more than men on an average. This difference has to be improved to the levels in the US and Europe where women live more than 6 years than men on an average.

6) If a man cancels an engagement, he need to be punished by imprisonment of upto 5 months. On the other hand, if a woman cancels an engagement, she should be compensated with 30% or more of the man’s yearly income.

7) For any woman who commits suicide within 7 years of marriage, a dowry harassment (or other harassment) case against the husband should be filed by default. He should be imprisoned for at least a year for not taking care of his wife.

8) If a woman complains of domestic violence, the man should be imprisoned immediately and bail only granted by a court. All their joint bank accounts need to be frozen at once. The woman also has the to right to stay on in the “matrimonial home” (i.e., the husband’s house), until she gets a divorce. If the women has an adulterous relation that is proved beyond doubt, the husband must still allow her to live in his house, or provide alternate accommodation of equal quality. The benchmark case is in the movie, “Hum Dil De Chuke Sanam.” The husband is even expected to help the women achieve her adulterous goals. If he cannot directly help, he must provide one-third of his salary towards the wife until she marries the other man.

9) A man must do half of all household work, even if his wife is not working. But he must always work full-time. If he does not, even if he does all house work, he should be labeled lazy, improvident, pathetic, and derelict, certainly in private, and preferably in public where it will cause maximum humiliation and pain either to him or to his relatives. If a woman does not work either outside the house or in, she is nonetheless entitled to all consideration and respect and anything less than deferential treatment of all her needs, demands, whims, and psychiatric moods should be considered a violation of her human rights.

10) After marriage, a man must not stay with his parents or allow his parents to stay for a prolonged period with him (“prolonged” to be decided by the woman and subject to revision at any time on request by her, her friends, or her relatives however distant and uneducated). He must allow her in-laws to stay in his house for at least the same length of time his parents stay in his house. If he violates any of these fundamental human rights of a woman, he can be imprisoned for neglect and abuse of his in-laws.

11) If in-laws of a man “feel” their daughter (or they) are not properly treated, the man should be thoroughly counseled and sensitized to his failure. If he does not mend his ways, stringent laws must be passed (with provision even for administering a good lashing) that will rectify his behavior.

12) The ratio of male:female suicide rates in India should be brought to the levels in the West. In India, 50%(about 25,000) more men commit suicide than women. This is much lower than western standards, where about 150% more men commit suicide than women.

13) The richer and the more educated the men are, the more pressure should be placed on them. They should provide the wife with a lifestyle equivalent to their status….. and they must also spend quality time with family (See 9, 10, 11 above). If this is still impossible, see 12.

14) By definition, Bangalore techies (since they work with software) are required to be softer than others. Since they are also paid more than most, they should deposit 20% of their monthly salary, at least,  in their wives’ names.

15) If the wife of a techie complains of dowry harassment (or any other harassment), he must be sacked from the job immediately (that is, after he gets out of jail on bail).

16) If the wife and husband are both techies, then the wife must not spend any part of her salary towards household or personal expenses. All expenses must be born by the man.

17) Streedhan given as a gift to the daughter during marriage must also be considered dowry.

18) Rural women and poor women are ignorant and can’t afford legal help. So, clearly the laws are really meant for urban India. Rural women should actually be discouraged from approaching the police or the courts since they don’t have the money anyway. Instead, they should be empowered in other ways – by better employment and by continuing to live in the traditional family system where they respect the decisions of elders. That will show everyone that that women’s rights laws are really UNDERUSED and (more importantly) will encourage urban women to MISUSE the law and file false cases. That makes for good business for feminist and Human Rights lawyers and keep bribe-giving at a healthy level, the booty being divided between the police and the women’s organizations. Currently, the rate of extortion for a techie is upto 1 lac and for an NRI (non-resident Indian) it goes upto 4 lacs.

19) Since, rural women do not suffer from domestic violence (see 18), domestic violence laws must be used mostly – and most stringently –  in urban India. Quod Erat Demostrandum.


More here in the archives of one of many new blogs on the feminist abuse of dowry and domestic abuse laws in India.

It would be funny if it were not another grim reminder of the way statutory remedies by the state end up creating more problems than remedies. Ultimately, both the men’s movement and the feminists are right….only in different places and ways. The feminists are more right (generally) about rural, uneducated women…..and the men’s movements is more right (generally) about urban, well-educated women.. But even then, each individual case is unique.

Racism, sexism and exist, but only as useful terms for analysis.. Down in the marrow, it’s all about power and relative power.

And when it holds power, the fairer sex is also the fiercer sex…

Read more here on the abuse of dowry laws and some advice for expatriate men who want to return home to be married:

498A victims offer the following advice for men getting married in India:
• When the bride and groom’s families exchange gifts, keep a written record of everything received and given.
• If you are traveling to India, make copies of your passport, visa and all credit cards and leave the copies with a trusted friend or relative.
• Don’t give anyone your tickets or passport.
• Register with the local Foreigners Registration Office upon arrival in India, and let them know your expected date of departure as well.
• “Don’t sign any blank checks.”
• Consider a prenuptial agreement.
• Keep aware of any bank activity by monitoring your bank statements.
• Print out and save any emails that may help your case. Under India’s recent cyber-laws, the emails may be admissible as evidence.
For more information, contact the following:
• Yahoo! Groups: Misusedowryact and Nridivorce
• www.sangyabalya.org (site is not always operational; alternatively, call them in Bangalore at 011-91-80-5696-9850 or email them at victimsof498a@rediffmail.com.
• The FBI’s local Indian staff can be reached through the American embassy in New Delhi: 011-91-11-2419-8000
• A few blogs are online, such as batteredmen.fullhydblogs.com, batteredmen.rediffblogs.com and batteredmen.blogspot.com.

Activism: Virtual Rapist Takes the Rap in Rome….

“An Italian man was jailed for more than two years for putting pornographic pictures of his ex-girlfriend on the Internet and sending them out in more than 15,000 e-mails.

The 32-year-old man had created a Web site that appeared to show his ex-girlfriend offering sexual favors and erotic games, with her phone number also on display….”

More at Reuters.

Comment:

Two years isn’t enough but bravo to the Italians for a good start. Now wait for the chatterati to howl about censorship. Punishing criminal behavior will be turned into an assault on free speech.

Of course it’s nothing of the sort. Publicly circulating pictures of this type is an assault of a very physical and damaging kind. In Iraqi Women and Torture (Chapter 8 of The Language of Empire) I argue that photographing and circulating nude or sexual pictures of women or men against their consent is an assault at least as bad as rape, and often much worse.

Our notions of consent and representation need considerable updating. I hope to be contributing something to that for the Routledge Key Concepts series.

Media-trix: New book confirms we live in a propaganda state

Monday, 11 February 2008

 

“On the morning of 9 February 2004, The New York Times carried an exclusive and alarming story. The paper’s Baghdad correspondent, Dexter Filkins, reported that US officials had obtained a 17-page letter, believed to have been written by the notorious terrorist Abu Musab al Zarqawi to the “inner circle” of al-Qa’ida’s leadership, urging them to accept that the best way to beat US forces in Iraq was effectively to start a civil war.

The letter argued that al-Qa’ida, which is a Sunni network, should attack the Shia population of Iraq: “It is the only way to prolong the duration of the fight between the infidels and us. If we succeed in dragging them into a sectarian war, this will awaken the sleepy Sunnis.”

Later that day, at a regular US press briefing in Baghdad, US General Mark Kimmitt dealt with a string of questions about The New York Times report: “We believe the report and the document is credible, and we take the report seriously… It is clearly a plan on the part of outsiders to come in to this country and spark civil war, create sectarian violence, try to expose fissures in this society.” The story went on to news agency wires and, within 24 hours, it was running around the world.

There is very good reason to believe that that letter was a fake – and a significant one because there is equally good reason to believe that it was one product among many from a new machinery of propaganda which has been created by the United States and its allies since the terrorist attacks of September 2001.

For the first time in human history, there is a concerted strategy to manipulate global perception. And the mass media are operating as its compliant assistants, failing both to resist it and to expose it.

The sheer ease with which this machinery has been able to do its work reflects a creeping structural weakness which now afflicts the production of our news. I’ve spent the last two years researching a book about falsehood, distortion and propaganda in the global media.

The “Zarqawi letter” which made it on to the front page of The New York Times in February 2004 was one of a sequence of highly suspect documents which were said to have been written either by or to Zarqawi and which were fed into news media.

This material is being generated, in part, by intelligence agencies who continue to work without effective oversight; and also by a new and essentially benign structure of “strategic communications” which was originally designed by doves in the Pentagon and Nato who wanted to use subtle and non-violent tactics to deal with Islamist terrorism but whose efforts are poorly regulated and badly supervised with the result that some of its practitioners are breaking loose and engaging in the black arts of propaganda.

Like the new propaganda machine as a whole, the Zarqawi story was born in the high tension after the attacks of September 2001. At that time, he was a painful thorn in the side of the Jordanian authorities, an Islamist radical who was determined to overthrow the royal family. But he was nothing to do with al-Q’aida. Indeed, he had specifically rejected attempts by Bin Laden to recruit him, because he was not interested in targeting the West.

Nevertheless, when US intelligence battered on the doors of allied governments in search of information about al-Q’aida, the Jordanian authorities – anxious to please the Americans and perhaps keen to make life more difficult for their native enemy – threw up his name along with other suspects. Soon he started to show up as a minor figure in US news stories – stories which were factually weak, often contradictory and already using the Jordanians as a tool of political convenience.

Then, on 7 October 2002, for the first time, somebody referred to him on the record. In a nationally televised speech in Cincinnati, President George Bush spoke of “high-level contacts” between al-Q’aida and Iraq and said: “Some al-Q’aida leaders who fled Afghanistan, went to Iraq. These include one very senior al-Q’aida leader who received medical treatment in Baghdad this year, and who has been associated with planning for chemical and biological attacks.”

This coincided with a crucial vote in Congress in which the president was seeking authority to use military force against Iraq. Bush never named the man he was referring to but, as the Los Angeles Times among many others soon reported: “In a speech [on] Monday, Bush referred to a senior member of al-Q’aida who received medical treatment in Iraq. US officials said yesterday that was Abu al Musab Zarqawi, a Jordanian, who lost a leg during the US war in Afghanistan.”

Even now, Zarqawi was a footnote, not a headline, but the flow of stories about him finally broke through and flooded the global media on 5 February 2003, when the Secretary of State, Colin Powell, addressed the UN Security Council, arguing that Iraq must be invaded: first, to stop its development of weapons of mass destruction; and second, to break its ties with al-Q’aida.

Powell claimed that “Iraq today harbours a deadly terrorist network headed by Abu Musab al Zarqawi”; that Zarqawi’s base in Iraq was a camp for “poison and explosive training”; that he was “an associate and collaborator of Osama bin Laden and his al-Q’aida lieutenants”; that he “fought in the Afghan war more than a decade ago”; that “Zarqawi and his network have plotted terrorist actions against countries, including France, Britain, Spain, Italy, Germany and Russia”.

Courtesy of post-war Senate intelligence inquiries; evidence disclosed in several European trials; and the courageous work of a handful of journalists who broke away from the pack, we now know that every single one of those statements was entirely false. But that didn’t matter: it was a big story. News organisations sucked it in and regurgitated it for their trusting consumers.

So, who exactly is producing fiction for the media? Who wrote the Zarqawi letters? Who created the fantasy story about Osama bin Laden using a network of subterranean bases in Afghanistan, complete with offices, dormitories, arms depots, electricity and ventilation systems? Who fed the media with tales of the Taliban leader, Mullah Omar, suffering brain seizures and sitting in stationery cars turning the wheel and making a noise like an engine? Who came up with the idea that Iranian ayatollahs have been encouraging sex with animals and girls of only nine?

Some of this comes from freelance political agitators. It was an Iranian opposition group, for example, which was behind the story that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was jailing people for texting each other jokes about him. And notoriously it was Iraqi exiles who supplied the global media with a dirty stream of disinformation about Saddam Hussein.

But clearly a great deal of this carries the fingerprints of officialdom. The Pentagon has now designated “information operations” as its fifth “core competency” alongside land, sea, air and special forces. Since October 2006, every brigade, division and corps in the US military has had its own “psyop” element producing output for local media. This military activity is linked to the State Department’s campaign of “public diplomacy” which includes funding radio stations and news websites. In Britain, the Directorate of Targeting and Information Operations in the Ministry of Defence works with specialists from 15 UK psyops, based at the Defence Intelligence and Security School at Chicksands in Bedfordshire.

In the case of British intelligence, you can see this combination of reckless propaganda and failure of oversight at work in the case of Operation Mass Appeal. This was exposed by the former UN arms inspector Scott Ritter, who describes in his book, Iraq Confidential, how, in London in June 1998, he was introduced to two “black propaganda specialists” from MI6 who wanted him to give them material which they could spread through “editors and writers who work with us from time to time”.

In interviews for Flat Earth News, Ritter described how, between December 1997 and June 1998, he had three meetings with MI6 officers who wanted him to give them raw intelligence reports on Iraqi arms procurement. The significance of these reports was that they were all unconfirmed and so none was being used in assessing Iraqi activity. Yet MI6 was happy to use them to plant stories in the media. Beyond that, there is worrying evidence that, when Lord Butler asked MI6 about this during his inquiry into intelligence around the invasion of Iraq, MI6 lied to him.

Ultimately, the US has run into trouble with its propaganda in Iraq, particularly with its use of the Zarqawi story. In May 2006, when yet another of his alleged letters was handed out to reporters in the Combined Press Information Centre in Baghdad, finally it was widely regarded as suspect and ignored by just about every single media outlet.

Arguably, even worse than this loss of credibility, according to British defence sources, the US campaign on Zarqawi eventually succeeded in creating its own reality. By elevating him from his position as one fighter among a mass of conflicting groups, the US campaign to “villainise Zarqawi” glamorised him with its enemy audience, making it easier for him to raise funds, to attract “unsponsored” foreign fighters, to make alliances with Sunni Iraqis and to score huge impact with his own media manoeuvres. Finally, in December 2004, Osama bin Laden gave in to this constructed reality, buried his differences with the Jordanian and declared him the leader of al-Q’aida’s resistance to the American occupation.”

More at the Independent confirming the thesis of “The Language of Empire” — some 3 years after I first wrote it….

This was the same Al Zarqawi who was supposed to be the master- mind behind the Nick Berg killing.

Check out Language of Empire on this site..

Ron Paul Revolution: Ron debates Democrats on You-Tube

Yep, Democrats. Except for Paul, Hunter and Tancredo, there wasn’t anyone in last night’s debate who couldn’t have changed their rhetoric and tone of voice a bit and been palmed off as a Democrat. Or maybe, to be fair to the genuine left, as Demopub… or Republicrat…

“McCain said Paul is promoting isolationism in calling for the United States to disengage from the war. “We allowed (Adolf) Hitler to come to power with that attitude of isolation,” he said.

Paul objected, saying McCain had confused his support for nonintervention with isolationism.

“I want to trade with people, talk with people, travel,” Paul replied. “But I don’t want to send troops overseas using force to tell them how to live.” Later he made clear he would not run as an independent, despite requests from many of his supporters….”

More at the Washington Post.

Dear Senator McCain, your uncompromising stance on torture is admirable. So was your Vietnam war service. But while you seem to be quite clear about what the Constitution says about asphyxiating our fellow man in excruciating stages, you seem less clear about carpet bombing him. I fail to follow the logic. Pouring too much H2O down the wrong orifice of suspected terrorists upsets you deeply (and it should — they are still held in our prisons and there are other ways to get them to talk) but leveling cities filled with innocent civilians, from babies to grandmothers and cripples, because some bearded guy somewhere else went on a criminal rampage — now that’s just fine and dandy.

I am being facetious but that’s what the logic of this foreign policy amounts to.

Paul’s answer was perfect. Because we don’t want to bomb people into “freedom” (our version) doesn’t mean we want to be “isolationist.”

Here’s another of those slogans “Mobs” talks about.

Is everything always this black and white, this simplistic?

Is the alternative to bombing people raising the draw- bridge, holing up inside, and contemplating our navels? Isn’t there such a thing as peaceful, unmanaged trade? Isn’t the other name for that the free market? And isn’t that what conservatism is supposed to defend?

Not the military-industrial-financial much-too complex?

Update:

Now we find that the debate was infiltrated by a covey of Democrat supporters posing as random questioners, including the gay military officer who was almost disruptive…

More evidence of the arrogance and corruption of the MSM and their pals on You Tube.

Now figure out where else those pals are – on google, on amazon, and everywhere else where opinions are voiced.

Media-trix: FOX notes Paul supporters include brothel owner…

“RENO, Nevada — Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul, an underdog Texas congressman with a libertarian streak, has picked up an endorsement from a Nevada brothel owner.

Dennis Hof, owner of the Moonlite BunnyRanch near Carson City, says he was so impressed after hearing Paul at a campaign stop in Reno last week that he decided to raise money for him.”

More at FOX.

Trust the MSM to pay attention to Paul only in ways that (they hope) will diminish him with mainstream voters.

Won’t work, especially since the founder of Dr. Paul’s religion was a pretty libertarian guy too and counted a few women of uncertain repute in his following too….(I wrote Magdalene first, but I recall that’s not so).

You’ll notice that Paul has gone from “dark horse” to underdog.” The move up the mammalian kingdom signals that pretty soon Ron’s going to be duking it out in the ring with the front runners.

Silence of the MSM: Ron P versus Ben B

Filed under Stories My Mother Never Told Me.

Ron Paul faces off with Ben Bernanke on the Federal Reserve fraud (yes, you didn’t read that much in the press, did you? How would you, when the same crew that owns the government owns the media).

paul bernanke“Paul countered that by putting more money on the market, Bernanke and the Federal Reserve are devaluing the dollar and robbing from Americans.

“There’s a dollar crisis out there and people’s money is being stolen; people who have saved, they’re being robbed. I mean, if you have a devaluation of the dollar at 10 percent, people have been robbed at 10 percent. But how can you pursue this policy without addressing the subject that somebody’s losing their wealth because of a weaker dollar? And it’s going to lead to higher interest rates and a weaker economy.”

Bernanke argued that since Americans use dollars to buy their goods here in America, a devalued dollar will make imported goods more expensive.

Paul shot back, rounding out his five minutes of questions, “Yes, but not if you’re retired and elderly and you have CDs and their cost of living is going up no matter what your CPI says. Their cost of living is going up and they are hurting.”

It was an interesting exercise in theory, but Paul, even if he were to be elected president, probably would not have the votes in Congress to revamp the financial system, much less abolish the Fed.”

A reason perhaps why none of this made wire or newspaper accounts of the hearing, all of which focused on Bernanke’s contention that despite an intensifying slump in the housing market, slower than expected growth and higher inflation, he does not believe the country is headed for a recession and tried to divine where Bernanke’s testimony signaled another interest rate cut.”

Read the rest at ABC.

Who are we again?

“Government censors monitor the print newspapers. The country is in a state of fear…..”

For a moment there, I thought the commentator on the radio was discussing the US. Apparently, he meant Pakistan……

Iran War Mongering: Less method than madness….

From a report in Stratfor discussing how the Bush administration might take on Iran:

“This leaves a direct assault against the Iranian economic infrastructure. Although this is the most promising path, it must be remembered that counterinfrastructure and counterpopulation strategic air operations have been tried extensively. The assumption has been that the economic cost of resistance would drive a wedge between the population and the regime, but there is no precedent in the history of air campaigns for this assumption. Such operations have succeeded in only two instances: Japan and Kosovo. In Japan, counterpopulation operations of massive proportions involving conventional weapons were followed by two atomic strikes. Even in that case, there was no split between regime and population, but a decision by the regime to capitulate. The occupation in Kosovo was not so much because of military success as diplomatic isolation. That isolation is not likely to happen in Iran.

In all other cases — Britain, Germany, Vietnam, Iraq — air campaigns by themselves did not split the population from the regime or force the regime to change course. In Britain and Vietnam, the campaigns failed completely. In Germany and Iraq (and Kuwait), they succeeded because of follow-on attacks by overwhelming ground forces.

The United States could indeed inflict heavy economic hardship, but history suggests that this is more likely to tighten the people’s identification with the government — not the other way around. In most circumstances, air campaigns have solidified the regime’s control over the population, allowing it to justify extreme security measures and generating a condition of intense psychological resistance. In no case has a campaign led to an uprising against the regime. Moreover, a meaningful campaign against economic infrastructure would take some 4 million barrels per day off of the global oil market at a time when oil prices already are closing in on $100 a barrel. Such a campaign is more likely to drive a wedge between the American people and the American government than between the Iranians and their government.

For an air campaign to work, the attacking power must be prepared to bring in an army on the ground to defeat the army that has been weakened by the air campaign — a tactic Israel failed to apply last summer in Lebanon. Combined arms operations do work, repeatedly. But the condition of the U.S. Army and Marines does not permit the opening of a new theater of operations in Iran. Most important, even if conditions did permit the use of U.S. ground forces to engage and defeat the Iranian army — a massive operation simply by the size of the country — the United States does not have the ability to occupy Iran against a hostile population. The Japanese and German nations were crushed completely over many years before an overwhelming force occupied them. What was present there, but not in Iraq, was overwhelming force. That is not an option for Iran.

Finally, consider the Iranian response. Iran does not expect to defeat the U.S. Air Force or Navy, although the use of mine warfare and anti-ship cruise missiles against tankers in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz should not be dismissed. The Iranian solution would be classically asymmetrical. First, they would respond in Iraq, using their assets in the country to further complicate the occupation, as well as to impose as many casualties as possible on the United States. And they would use their forces to increase the difficulty of moving supplies from Kuwait to U.S. forces in central Iraq. They also would try to respond globally using their own forces (the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence and Security and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps), as well as Hezbollah and other trained Shiite militant assets, to carry out counterpopulation attacks against U.S. assets around the world, including in the United States….”

Comment:

Stratfor is a widely cited firm that sends out geo-political intelligence reports to businesses. The excerpt above was from one of their free reports.

They have their biases. Perhaps not intentional so much as occupational, but I take their forecasts with some caution.

From Sourcewatch:

Stratfor – which is also known as Strategic Forecasting, Inc. – is a private company that provides strategic and issues management intelligence anlaysis to corporations and governments.

The company, founded in 1996, is based in Austin, Texas and boasts that it has “an intelligence network located throughout the world.”

“Stratfor is the world’s leading private intelligence firm providing corporations, governments and individuals with geopolitical analysis and forecasts that enable them to manage risk and to anticipate political, economic and security issues vital to their interests,” it states on its website. [1]

Al Giordano, a progressive journalist and founder of NarcoNews , who has lived and worked in Latin America for years, details what he calls “20 Stratfor Lies about Latin America”:

“Stratfor’s track record in Latin America is abhorrent (how many years in a row did it predict that Hugo Chavez would not survive that year as Venezuela’s president?). It’s “spin” is ideological: pro-corporate, which is no surprise, given that it’s undisclosed clientele purchases something called “Business Intelligence Services.”

In my opinion, Stratfor engages in circulating disinformation into the datasphere through its free and paid email memos in ways that seem aimed to help the agendas of that very same corporate world that contracts its services.
In March 2004, Bart Mongoven from Stratfor’s Washington D.C. office appeared on a panel – Strategies for Dealing with Environmental Litigation – at the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association annual meeting in San Antonio, Texas. (Also appearing on the panel were Marc Sisk, Dorsey & Whitney, Washington, DC and Stephen Brown from The Dutko Group LLC).
Mongoven warned industry leaders about the increasing collaboration between environmental groups and patients groups on the issue of exposure to chemicals. Washington D.C. trade magazine, Inside EPA, reported Mongoven told the NPRA that “in five years, the environmental community would like to see all debates [be about] the environment and health.” Mongoven nominated Collaborative on Health and the Environment as an example of the new approach.

According to Inside EPA, Mongoven said that the collaboration was broadening the debate beyond exposure to pesticides to the health impacts of industrial emissions. According to Inside EPA, he suggested that one option for industry to counter this development was to dismiss advocates stated public health goal and instead portray them as being “anti-chemical”.
Comment:

Of course, this does not mean that everything Stratfor writes is compromised. But I think in the age of “astroturf lobbying,” (i.e. faked grass-roots advocacy meant to coopt real populist voices), better watch out would be a good motto.

Solzhenitsyn on the censorship of fashion…

“Without any censorship, in the West fashionable trends of thought and ideas are carefully separated from those which are not fashionable; nothing is forbidden, but what is not fashionable will hardly ever find its way into periodicals or books or be heard in colleges. Legally your researchers are free, but they are conditioned by the fashion of the day. There is no open violence such as in the East; however, a selection dictated by fashion and the need to match mass standards frequently prevent independent-minded people giving their contribution to public life. There is a dangerous tendency to flock together and shut off successful development. I have received letters in America from highly intelligent persons, maybe a teacher in a faraway small college who could do much for the renewal and salvation of his country, but his country cannot hear him because the media are not interested in him. This gives birth to strong mass prejudices, to blindness, which is most dangerous in our dynamic era. There is, for instance, a self-deluding interpretation of the contemporary world situation. It works as a sort of a petrified armor around people’s minds. Human voices from 17 countries of Eastern Europe and Eastern Asia cannot pierce it. It will only be broken by the pitiless crowbar of events….”

More from Solzhenitsyn’s commencement speech at Harvard in June 1978.